{"id":7578,"date":"2011-08-19T18:54:32","date_gmt":"2011-08-20T00:54:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ishmaels.net\/blog\/?p=7578"},"modified":"2011-08-19T18:54:32","modified_gmt":"2011-08-20T00:54:32","slug":"a-post-on-peak-oil","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/2011\/08\/19\/a-post-on-peak-oil\/","title":{"rendered":"A post on Peak Oil"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>This was interesting today&#8230; using the corrected methodology either we have already passed the peak or it will happen real soon&#8230; \u00a0 I have no doubt that we are really really close to the maximum capable output but we may be able to bump at this level for several years. \u00a0The problem with all those &#8220;NEW&#8221; finds that <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>people<\/strong> want to publish is the <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>fact<\/strong> that they take years to get to market in useable quantities. \u00a0During that <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>time<\/strong> waiting the amount that we already have found will continue to drop&#8230; most <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>people<\/strong> forget that every <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>field<\/strong> found has a <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>decline<\/strong> curve&#8230; that means the peak <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>production<\/strong> for any well or <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>field<\/strong> will happen at the beginning and then it will drop off&#8230; some a lot faster than others&#8230; the new &#8220;HUGE&#8221; fields being found that your read about &#8211; the SHALE fields have a rapid <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>decline<\/strong> curve&#8230; go look them up and see the <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>time<\/strong> verses <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>production<\/strong> on them&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>All this leads to the <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>fact<\/strong> that the cost of energy needs to stay high so we can force investment and development of alternatives&#8230; we don&#8217;t <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>need<\/strong> wild swings when we <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>need<\/strong> years to develop new alternatives&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; WD0AJG<\/p>\n<p>[recreading]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This was interesting today&#8230; using the corrected methodology either we have already passed the peak or it will happen real soon&#8230; I have no doubt that we are really really close to the maximum capable output but we may be able to bump at this level for several years. The problem with all those &#8220;NEW&#8221; finds that people want to publish is the fact that they take years to get to market in useable quantities. During that time waiting the amount that we already have found will continue to drop&#8230; most people forget that every field found has a decline curve&#8230; that means the peak production for any well or field will happen at the beginning and then it will drop off&#8230; some a lot <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/2011\/08\/19\/a-post-on-peak-oil\/\">&#8220;And Now the Rest of the Story &#8211; &#8220;A post on Peak Oil<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[13],"class_list":["post-7578","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-bbs","odd"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>A post on Peak Oil - And That was How it Went<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/2011\/08\/19\/a-post-on-peak-oil\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A post on Peak Oil - And That was How it Went\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This was interesting today&#8230; using the corrected methodology either we have already passed the peak or it will happen real soon&#8230; I have no doubt that we are really really close to the maximum capable output but we may be able to bump at this level for several years. 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Maybe?","author":"wd0ajg","date":"April 30, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Picked this up from ZeroHedge blog. The comments on this run from OK to way out there. \u00a0I do not agree on the peak oil chart that production will drop as fast as the chart indicates... I feel it may be more of a stable production level for several years\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":344,"url":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/2010\/04\/03\/you-see-what-you-want-to\/","url_meta":{"origin":7578,"position":1},"title":"You see what you want to&#8230;.","author":"wd0ajg","date":"April 3, 2010","format":false,"excerpt":"In today\u2019s world of arguments and discussion - each side can only see what they want to see. There are not many open receptors for differing thoughts. Cases in point - Global Warming, Peak Oil, Republican vs. Democrat.... and on. My title could also read \"figures never lie but liars\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Life&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Life","link":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/category\/life-and-or-living-daily\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":60089,"url":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/2016\/07\/15\/mountain-peak\/","url_meta":{"origin":7578,"position":2},"title":"Mountain Peak?","author":"wd0ajg","date":"July 15, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"I have been driving past this spot for maybe 30 years and this time found out it was a mountain peak?\u00a0 I knew it as Gobblers Knob\u2026 but according to new internet findings it is a peak. \u201cGobblers Knob is a 4,288 ft. \/ 1,307 m mountain peak near Lamar,\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"IMG_8401","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/IMG_8401_thumb.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/IMG_8401_thumb.jpg?resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/IMG_8401_thumb.jpg?resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/IMG_8401_thumb.jpg?resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":2030,"url":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/2010\/09\/18\/every-peak-has-a-trough\/","url_meta":{"origin":7578,"position":3},"title":"Every Peak Has a Trough","author":"wd0ajg","date":"September 18, 2010","format":false,"excerpt":"You may have wondered about successful people and whether they have attained constant supreme highs of life. It seems that when you observe these highly successful people they always seem to be positive, high-energy, and unscathed by what some people experience.","rel":"","context":"In \"BBS\"","block_context":{"text":"BBS","link":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/tag\/bbs\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":63625,"url":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/2020\/07\/24\/it-happened-just-like-that\/","url_meta":{"origin":7578,"position":4},"title":"It happened just like that","author":"wd0ajg","date":"July 24, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Not much new other than a couple of pictures that I missed.\u00a0 First up we had to take the car in Monday for a recall.\u00a0 Seems our vehicle had a low pressure fuel pump that would shut down and leave you lost.\u00a0 It was said that it could happen at\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Life&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Life","link":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/category\/life-and-or-living-daily\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/1-SAM_7346_thumb.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/1-SAM_7346_thumb.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/1-SAM_7346_thumb.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":2703,"url":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/2010\/10\/04\/albuquerque-10-4-2010\/","url_meta":{"origin":7578,"position":5},"title":"Albuquerque &ndash; 10-4-2010","author":"wd0ajg","date":"October 4, 2010","format":false,"excerpt":"Yesterday I Posted down to the point of the nap.\u00a0 But there was still a lot of day left, so after the rest, we got out on old Route 66 (Central AVE) and aimed for Old Town.\u00a0 Central\u00a0 passes by the Race Track, the University of New Mexico, Nob Hill,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Travel&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Travel","link":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/category\/travel-going-places-seeing-things\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"IMG_1493","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/box5128.temp.domains\/~ishmaels\/blog3\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/IMG_1493_thumb.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7578","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7578"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7578\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7578"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7578"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7578"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}