{"id":6196,"date":"2011-05-12T11:54:39","date_gmt":"2011-05-12T17:54:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ishmaels.net\/blog\/?p=6196"},"modified":"2011-05-12T11:54:39","modified_gmt":"2011-05-12T17:54:39","slug":"the-trials-of-the-past-40-years","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/2011\/05\/12\/the-trials-of-the-past-40-years\/","title":{"rendered":"The trials of the past 40 years"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2><a href=\"http:\/\/pragcap.com\/the-perpetual-wall-of-worry\" target=\"_blank\">THE PERPETUAL WALL OF WORRY<\/a><\/h2>\n<div>by\u00a0Cullen Roche<\/p>\n<div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<p>Here\u2019s a nice chart from\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/guidance.fidelity.com\/viewpoints\/strategies-for-volatile-markets?ccsource=email_weekly\" target=\"_blank\">Fidelity Investments<\/a> showing the perpetual struggles that the global economy and the equity markets have endured over the last 40 years. \u00a0 \u00a0It <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>shows<\/strong> that economies will enter substantial periods of hardship, however, if the citizenry are moving in the right direction, they are likely to continue making progress. \u00a0After all, when taken to an extreme that is the story of man. \u00a0We innovate, overcome, survive.<\/p>\n<p>Many readers might think of me as a pessimist because I tend to focus on the negatives. \u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/pragcap.com\/3-things-i-think-i-think-butterflies-and-rainbows-dont-ruin-your-day\" target=\"_blank\">As I\u2019ve described before,<\/a> butterflies and rainbows don\u2019t ruin your <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>day<\/strong>. \u00a0It would be easy to focus on the positives during the climb to the top of the investment mountain. \u00a0But it\u2019s not the butterflies and rainbows that get in your way. \u00a0It\u2019s the loose <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>rocks<\/strong>. \u00a0And if you\u2019re not keeping an eye out for them they\u2019ll ruin more than your <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>day<\/strong>. \u00a0In managing your downside risks you actually increase the odds of greater upside.<\/p>\n<p>And while this isn\u2019t an advertisement for \u201c<strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>buy<\/strong> and hold\u201d or similar approaches it is an advertisement for common <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>sense<\/strong> and good <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>risk<\/strong> management. \u00a0Common <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>sense<\/strong> says that mankind will always wake up in the morning attempting to be better than he\/she was yesterday. \u00a0Fighting this powerful trend through persistent pessimism might pay-off in the short-term, but it is guaranteed to lose in the long-<strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>term<\/strong>. \u00a0And a good <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>risk<\/strong> manager knows there will be bumps along the way. \u00a0Plan accordingly.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"problems\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/pragcap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/problems.jpg?resize=600%2C386\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"386\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Source: Fidelity<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>THE PERPETUAL WALL OF WORRY by Cullen Roche<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s a nice chart from Fidelity Investments showing the perpetual struggles that the global economy and the equity markets have endured over the last 40 years. It shows that economies will enter substantial periods of hardship, however, if the citizenry are moving in the right direction, they are likely to continue making progress. After all, when taken to an extreme that is the story of man. We innovate, overcome, survive.<\/p>\n<p>Many readers might think of me as a pessimist because I tend to focus on the negatives. As I\u2019ve described before, butterflies and rainbows don\u2019t ruin your day. It would be easy to focus on the positives during the climb to the top of the investment mountain. <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/2011\/05\/12\/the-trials-of-the-past-40-years\/\">&#8220;And Now the Rest of the Story &#8211; &#8220;The trials of the past 40 years<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6196","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","odd"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The trials of the past 40 years - And That was How it Went<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/2011\/05\/12\/the-trials-of-the-past-40-years\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The trials of the past 40 years - And That was How it Went\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"THE PERPETUAL WALL OF WORRY by Cullen Roche Here\u2019s a nice chart from Fidelity Investments showing the perpetual struggles that the global economy and the equity markets have endured over the last 40 years. It shows that economies will enter substantial periods of hardship, however, if the citizenry are moving in the right direction, they are likely to continue making progress. After all, when taken to an extreme that is the story of man. We innovate, overcome, survive. Many readers might think of me as a pessimist because I tend to focus on the negatives. As I\u2019ve described before, butterflies and rainbows don\u2019t ruin your day. 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take note. \u00a0 An Open Letter To the Republican Partyby\u00a0Frank Wood Dear Republican Party: \u00a0 America is the land of \u201csecond chances\u201d. Yesterday, WE THE PEOPLE, gave you yours. SECOND chance? Yes, remember what WE did for you in 1995?\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"BBS\"","block_context":{"text":"BBS","link":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/tag\/bbs\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/ussmullinnix.files.wordpress.com\/2010\/11\/gop.jpg?w=350&h=200&crop=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":1353,"url":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/2010\/08\/12\/ham-radio-40-years-ago-a-memoir\/","url_meta":{"origin":6196,"position":2},"title":"Ham Radio 40 Years Ago \u2013 A Memoir","author":"wd0ajg","date":"August 12, 2010","format":false,"excerpt":"Forty Years Ago, it was a major requirement to learn the morse code which is a system of dots and dashes, in order to get a beginner's ham license. Once I had mastered this, Doug ordered the written exam for me and I passed it and received my Novice Class\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Ham Radio&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Ham Radio","link":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/category\/hobbies\/ham-radio\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4682,"url":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/2011\/01\/25\/whod-a-thunk-it-50-years-ago\/","url_meta":{"origin":6196,"position":3},"title":"Who\u2019d a thunk it 50 years ago.","author":"wd0ajg","date":"January 25, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Thank you Karl (KW4MW) I do not have all those things, well I have most of them smart phone (droid version) cameras, laptops, calculators, etc. then thrown in the Icom 706 that fits almost anywhere and covers all the bands that I used to have 4 boat anchors for, automatic\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Hobbies&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Hobbies","link":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/category\/hobbies\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1255,"url":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/2010\/07\/31\/rules-for-investing-how-to-build-a-portfolio-of-safe-secure-investments\/","url_meta":{"origin":6196,"position":4},"title":"Rules for Investing- How To Build a Portfolio of Safe, Secure Investments","author":"wd0ajg","date":"July 31, 2010","format":false,"excerpt":"In order to invest wisely, you need to have a suitable investment plan that will ensure the appropriate amount of growth for your circumstances. Your investments will also need to be safe and easy to manage. Safe investing is easy as long as you know and follow the basic rules.","rel":"","context":"In \"BBS\"","block_context":{"text":"BBS","link":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/tag\/bbs\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":18898,"url":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/2015\/01\/21\/history-in-an-alley\/","url_meta":{"origin":6196,"position":5},"title":"History in an Alley?","author":"wd0ajg","date":"January 21, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"eI have been here for some time (this go round) and I have been in the buildings that front this back area, but I have never, I guess, noticed some of these before\u2026 I must admit I have never been in the Stonewall Tavern (that I remember).\u00a0 Not sure it\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"IMG_2714","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/IMG_27141_thumb.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6196","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6196"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6196\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6196"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6196"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6196"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}