{"id":5275,"date":"2011-03-12T00:05:00","date_gmt":"2011-03-12T06:05:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ishmaels.net\/blog\/?p=5275"},"modified":"2011-03-12T00:05:00","modified_gmt":"2011-03-12T06:05:00","slug":"dramatic-but-maybe-we-need-it","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/2011\/03\/12\/dramatic-but-maybe-we-need-it\/","title":{"rendered":"Dramatic but maybe we need it?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I track several bloggers on investing as well as all of my other interests (Damn I have too many!).&#160;&#160; This is <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>one<\/strong> of my favorite bloggers and tweeters to track \u2013 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thereformedbroker.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">The Reformed Broker<\/a>.&#160; He has become a bit more famous now as he does CNBC and writes for a <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>lot<\/strong> of other services as well as his own blog, so he has enlisted some other bloggers to push his blog and help theirs at the same time.&#160; One is the <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.thereformedbroker.com\/author\/dinosaur-trader\/\">Dinosaur Trader<\/a><\/strong>.&#160; At times this guy can really put out some easy reading, with a twist of investing and other shit in it.&#160; This <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>one<\/strong> below, was <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>one<\/strong> of the most recent posts that \u201cfits\u201d with my view of the energy problems in the USA.&#160; Hell we have two major problems (Energy and Govt spending) and several minor ones (Politicians bickering, taxes, transportation, food, hidden inflation , etc.) that all intertwine in such a way that it is scary to think we might actually be at the cross roads.&#160; I am talking about the cross roads of \u201calways getting better for the next generation\u201d to a point that we are <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>going<\/strong> to hand off to our kids and their kids a world that is worse!&#160; We may be at the point that we should actually take the road that needs a <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>lot<\/strong> of repair and get off the \u201ceasy highway\u201d.&#160;&#160; We for sure may be getting damn close considering energy supply and demand. &#8211; WD0AJG<\/p>\n<h3>Peak Sheen (or how $10 gasoline will save the world)<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.thereformedbroker.com\/author\/dinosaur-trader\/\">Dinosaur Trader<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<li>March 9th, 2011 <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>A few nights ago, I decided to torture myself and watch a movie about \u201cpeak oil\u201d cleverly titled, \u201c<strong>A Crude Awakening<\/strong>\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>I say \u201ctorture myself\u201d because what can I do really? Drive a Prius?<\/p>\n<p>Whatever, America is an oil society. George W. Bush got it right: we are addicted to oil. Almost everything we do involves oil. I\u2019m not saying that Priuses aren\u2019t great and a step in the <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>right<\/strong> direction. The problem is that even if everyone was forced to drive a Prius tomorrow, and assuming our historical rate of economic growth, oil demand would rebound to current levels in only a few years.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s not <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>going<\/strong> to be as easy as switching the car you drive. No, the real solution to our \u201caddiction to oil\u201d will be something closer to what <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>Charlie Sheen<\/strong> is <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>going<\/strong> through <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>right<\/strong> now.<\/p>\n<p>Some sort of ugly, embarrassing, strung-out withdrawal but without the glamor and pornstars.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cA Crude Awakening\u201d debates and dismisses each of the major alternatives to oil: solar, wind, biomass, nuclear and hydrogen. Of these, hydrogen seems to have the most promise. Too bad a \u201chydrogen society\u201d won\u2019t be a viable alternative for another 30-50 years.<\/p>\n<p>Until then, things don\u2019t look pretty. In fact, <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>one<\/strong> of the dudes featured in the movie was being interviewed in front of emergency crates of water manufactured by \u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/preparedness.com\/sospurdrinwa.html)\"><strong>S.O.S Food Labs<\/strong><\/a>\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Seriously.<\/p>\n<p>It was late. I was watching the movie alone. My mind began to race.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWonder if oil wars are our only future.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cDad drove a huge Plymouth in the 1970s. Is he a dick for that?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAre my kids <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>going<\/strong> to become some sort of oil slaves?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cJesus. Am I already an oil slave?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cDo I <strong>need<\/strong> to stock dried goods? Dehydrated vegetables?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhere can I buy a horse? For transportation?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Like a good American, instead of freaking out any further, I just turned off the movie. I needed to smile. I pulled up the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=h5aSa4tmVNM\">Charlie Sheen ABC interview<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>I got to the part where the interviewer seemed to cast doubt on his ability to <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>stop<\/strong> \u201cusing.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>How do you know you won\u2019t relapse? she asked.<\/p>\n<p>Because, he said, \u201cI blinked and I cured my brain, everybody has the power.&#160; It\u2019s just because, you know&#8230; Can\u2019t is the cancer of happen. Can\u2019t is the cancer of happen.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMaybe <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>Charlie Sheen<\/strong> is right,\u201d I thought, thinking about the movie again. \u201cMaybe we\u2019re just saying we can\u2019t change, get off oil, but we really could. Can\u2019t is the cancer of happen. Yeah&#8230; Nothing is <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>going<\/strong> to happen if we keep saying we can\u2019t do it! Maybe we can have a hydrogen society in only 10 years and forestall world disaster! Maybe we <strong>need<\/strong> more leaders like Charlie Sheen!\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>Charlie Sheen<\/strong> brought me back from the edge. Mind sufficiently calmed, I quickly fell asleep.<\/p>\n<p>But the next morning, the movie re-entered my mind. Over breakfast, without telling my <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>wife<\/strong> about the movie, I said, \u201cI could totally see moving up to a quiet farm somewhere. You know, a small plot of land, grow our own <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>food<\/strong> organically. Some chickens.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>I didn\u2019t tell her my ideas about buying guns and stocking <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>food<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cReally?\u201d She said, rubbing her very pregnant belly. \u201cI can\u2019t.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Trying to give the idea momentum, I continued. \u201cWouldn\u2019t it be great to wake up, hear roosters, see dew on a meadow?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cNo.\u201d she said. \u201cI like our life here. All of our friends are here. Our family is close.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYeah but what happens when trucks&#8230;\u201d and here my voice cracked before I blurted out, \u201c<strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>stop<\/strong> delivering <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>food<\/strong> out here?\u201d Shit! I reached for my fork, averted my eyes, and tried to play it cool.<\/p>\n<p>But my <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>wife<\/strong> was staring through me. She was quiet for a good 10 seconds, just staring at me, rubbing her belly menacingly. I could hear her hands <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>going<\/strong> \u201cswoosh, swoosh\u201d over the fabric.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhat are you talking about?\u201d She took a step towards me. She was holding a wooden spoon. \u201cMy god,\u201d I thought, \u201cI\u2019ve angered a pregnant italian woman and she\u2019s holding a wooden spoon.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Clearly, I was in danger.<\/p>\n<p>She raised her voice, waving the wooden spoon around like some crazed conductor leading a group of crack-addled Charlie Sheens playing piccolos. \u201cYou\u2019re getting all paranoid and crazy again?\u201d Slam! The spoon hit the table. \u201cWhile I\u2019m eight-and-a-half months pregnant?\u201d Slam! \u201cRemember when you had me split our savings between 6 different banks and bought bullion?\u201d Slam!<\/p>\n<p>Ah, memories of 2008&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>I got the fuck out of there and head back to my cave, the office. I closed and locked the door.<\/p>\n<p>The first <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>thing<\/strong> I noticed, was oil creeping close to $107 a barrel. Searching for the reason, I read an article <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/2011-03-07\/saudi-arabia-s-day-of-rage-lures-record-bets-on-200-oil-chart-of-day.html\">about $200 crude calls<\/a> changing hands.&#160; Then I read about the upcoming \u201cSaudi Day of Rage.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>$200 oil. Wow. Days of rage. $10 gasoline. Man! The movie was right! We\u2019re at the beginning of the end!<\/p>\n<p>I tried to calm down. Thinking back to the night before, I thought about <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>Charlie Sheen<\/strong>. What would he say about this? I bet he\u2019d say that worrying about $200 oil was boring and normal.<\/p>\n<p>Could $200 oil actually be good?<\/p>\n<p>Sure! $200 oil is only bad if we want to continue on the exact path we\u2019re on, but that path is ending. Changing isn\u2019t <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>going<\/strong> to be an option. There are finite amounts of oil under the ground. That\u2019s just a <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>fact<\/strong>. \u201cDrill baby drill\u201d is nothing more than a weak slogan and useless policy unless it\u2019s coupled with huge commitment to developing other resources as well.<\/p>\n<p>If $200 oil gets us thinking harder about hydrogen, or about solar, or does anything to shake the entrenched interests in this country that are standing in the way of real change, then that\u2019s actually a good <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>thing<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>The alternative is that, like the pre-awakened version of our friend Charlie Sheen, we continue chilling with pornstars and \u201cbanging 7 gram rocks.\u201d&#160; Then when our heart explodes in a couple of decades, we\u2019re not <strong class='StrictlyAutoTagBold'>going<\/strong> to have anyone else to blame but ourselves.<\/p>\n<p>Not the liberals. Not the conservatives. And not the other terrorists.<\/p>\n<p>Wonder if cars can run on #tigerblood?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I track several bloggers on investing as well as all of my other interests (Damn I have too many!).&#160;&#160; This is one of my favorite bloggers and tweeters to track \u2013 The Reformed Broker.&#160; He has become a bit more famous now as he does CNBC and writes for a lot of other services as well as his own blog, so he has enlisted some other bloggers to push his blog and help theirs at the same time.&#160; One is the Dinosaur Trader.&#160; At times this guy can really put out some easy reading, with a twist of investing and other shit in it.&#160; This one below, was one of the most recent posts that \u201cfits\u201d with my view of the energy problems in the <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/2011\/03\/12\/dramatic-but-maybe-we-need-it\/\">&#8220;And Now the Rest of the Story &#8211; &#8220;Dramatic but maybe we need it?<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5275","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","odd"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Dramatic but maybe we need it? 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Here is some sage advice from an amateur online investor who has a knack for finding ones that work.","rel":"","context":"In \"BBS\"","block_context":{"text":"BBS","link":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/tag\/bbs\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":9183,"url":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/2011\/12\/17\/a-day-in-the-life\/","url_meta":{"origin":5275,"position":2},"title":"A day in the life","author":"wd0ajg","date":"December 17, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Yea, my life, boooorrrrring\u2026 but was really nice to not be out in a motel somewhere\u2026 I was not moving too fast today , got up about 7:30 and did some morning reading\u2026 had several things in the reading list that were pretty good.\u00a0 I have my Google reader set\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"HF\"","block_context":{"text":"HF","link":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/tag\/hf\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":13835,"url":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/2013\/05\/19\/missed-one-made-one-weekend-update\/","url_meta":{"origin":5275,"position":3},"title":"Missed one, made one, weekend update","author":"wd0ajg","date":"May 19, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"OK, a lot has happened since last posting\u2026 Thursday \u2013 Got O Miami and then missed my next flight due to time problems\u2026 should have been able to catch it but with all the time differences and all the hassle of passport control\u2026 missed it, got on a later flight\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Christmas Letters\"","block_context":{"text":"Christmas Letters","link":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/tag\/christmas-letters\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"IMG_2010","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ishmaels.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/05\/IMG_2010_thumb.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":1803,"url":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/2010\/08\/30\/the-10-myths-of-investing-in-oil-wells\/","url_meta":{"origin":5275,"position":4},"title":"The 10 Myths Of Investing In Oil Wells","author":"wd0ajg","date":"August 30, 2010","format":false,"excerpt":"Oil seems to be on every bodies mind a lot lately both in the good sense and the bad sense, but regardless of what one thinks of the oil industry it is the #1 most efficient energy source in the world. And if we didn't have it we would still\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"BBS\"","block_context":{"text":"BBS","link":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/tag\/bbs\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":16722,"url":"https:\/\/www.ishmaels.net\/blog\/2014\/07\/24\/grandsons\/","url_meta":{"origin":5275,"position":5},"title":"Grandsons","author":"wd0ajg","date":"July 24, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Well the grandsons came up to visit for a few days and I have been busy.\u00a0 Before they got here I captured some pictures of the \u201cFungus\u201d growing in my front yard\u2026 This was in the morning on Tuesday\u2026 then Tuesday evening.. 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